Monday, 26 November 2012

Preview: Millwall home


Wolves go into the second of their home double-header ever more desperately in need of points after yet another disappointing defeat against Nottingham Forest. As is becoming the norm with Wolves we started off incredibly brightly, taking the lead after 5 minutes through Sigurdarson, before failing to take a hatful of chances and being punished through sloppy mistakes. Then our usual second-half failings materialised again and we slipped to another loss thanks to the traditional ex-Wolves-player curse.

Hammill's sublime free-kick in last season's demolition of Millwall
So on the back of that, the last thing we want is to come up against one of the division's form sides. Millwall are unbeaten in their last 10 games, the best record in the Championship, their last defeat coming at home to Brighton at the end of September. Since then, they have won 6 and drawn 5. Compare that with Wolves who are now without a win in 9 and suddenly the prospect of success on Tuesday night for Stale Solbakken's men looks alarmingly bleak. Having said that, our record against Millwall is impressive. Of the 37 competitive meetings between the two sides, Wolves have 18 to Millwall's 10. The record at Molineux is even more impressive, with Wolves winning 13 of the 20 competitive meetings in Wolverhampton, and have scored a fantastic 41 goals past the South-London side at Molineux in those meetings. However, Millwall won on their last league visit here, a 2-1 win on a balmy September night in 2005 when Barry Hayles won it for them in the last minute. Our last game with The Lions brings much happier memories though, a 5-0 Carling Cup success last season including a beautiful free-kick from Adam Hammill and one of the best goals I've ever seen - a 30-yard screamer from Adlene Guedioura (we know all about those now don't we!)

Andy Keogh's famous celebration after his winner at Derby
The Millwall we face now are much improved from the side that capitulated so easily at Molineux last season. They're very dangerous going forward, with Chris Wood (on loan from the Baggies) their leading marksman with 8 goals. Former Watford man Darius Henderson follows closely behind on 7 goals and the pair of them can be lethal when played together. Liam Trotter on 6 also provides a goalscoring threat from the middle of the park. It's not to be forgotten that Millwall also have Andy Keogh. The Irish international, who often split opinion at Molineux, has gone down in recent Wolves folklore for his two goals against Derby County that all but sent us up. His shirtless celebration, 3 minutes from time at Pride Park, is one of the iconic images of the Mick McCarthy era, and I'm sure for that he will get a good reception from the fans. But given how maligned he was by large sections of the crowd at times, it is almost guaranteed he will score against us. I'm sure he will follow Guedioura's example of no celebrating, but I wouldn't be surprised if there was a tiny part of him that would be delighted to smack in the winner in front of the South Bank - he deserves it after some of the abuse he got at times.

Bakary Sako: Big loss for Wolves
At the time of writing, it appears that Doumbia and Sako are severely struggling for fitness ahead of tomorrow night's game. If we were to be without both these players, it would be a monumental blow. Given that we're already without Henry through suspension, losing Doumbia would see us be incredibly lightweight in the middle of the park, with neither Davis nor Edwards a particularly big physical presence. And, of course, the impact of the loss of Sako doesn't really need any words to describe it. He's been involved in 14 goals for us so far this season - scoring 6 and setting up 8. To lose him would see a real hole in our creativity. A potential solution to this is to stick with the 4-4-2/4-4-1-1 that Solbakken favours, and put Doyle on the right-wing with either Pennant (who is reportedly on a final warning from Solbakken due to his poor performances) or Forde on the left-wing. Then put the recently-impressive Sigurdarson up top with Ebanks-Blake. Doing this, we wouldn't lose too much goal threat thanks to three strikers being on the pitch, but we also have Doyle's workrate to track back and assist his full-back who, on recent form, should be Stearman. The former Leicester man has looked far more solid than Foley in the last couple of months and would be my choice to play tomorrow night.

Given our recent form, and possible injuries, I predict it will be a nervy affair between the two sides. I have a feeling Millwall will capitalise on the nerves around the place and will continue their very good recent form by picking up 3 points at Molineux.

Prediction: Wolves 1-2 Millwall

In Stale We Trust

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